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Mathematics · Mathematical modelling

Limitations and refining a model

Your model gives a number, and then the question asks whether you would trust it.

A limitation is an assumption that may fail, plus a statement of which way the answer would change. A refinement is a new version of the model that removes that limitation.

This lesson follows choosing a simple model for a real situation in the SPM Mathematics modelling sequence. It returns to the van-hire model from defining variables and assumptions.

How do I write a limitation that earns marks?

Use two parts: the assumption that fails, and the effect on the answer. “The model ignores tolls, so the real cost could be higher” has both parts.

  1. Pick the assumption that is least likely to hold.
  2. State what the real situation might contain instead.
  3. Say whether the answer would rise or fall.

Avoid “the model is not exact”, which names no assumption.

Worked example: adding a waiting charge

The van model is C = 120 + 0.8d, where C is the cost in RM and d is the distance in km. For d = 150, C = RM240.

Limitation. The model assumes the driver never waits. On a school trip the van may wait while students visit a museum, and the real cost would be higher if the company charges for waiting time.

Refinement. Suppose the company charges RM15 for each hour of waiting beyond 2 hours, and let w be the total waiting hours. The refined model is:

C = 120 + 0.8d + 15(w − 2), for w ≥ 2.

For d = 150 and w = 5, the cost is 120 + 120 + 15 × 3 = 120 + 120 + 45 = RM285.

The refinement answers the limitation directly. The range w ≥ 2 is stated, because the formula would give a negative charge for w below 2.

The mistake that costs marks

The common slip is saying only that the model “may not be accurate”. It names no assumption and gives no direction.

Step Wrong Right
Limitation the model may not be accurate the model ignores waiting time
Effect not stated the real cost could be higher
Refinement none add 15(w − 2) for w ≥ 2
Range not stated w ≥ 2

Name the assumption and the direction, and the comment is complete.

Check yourself

A plant height model is h = 4 + 2.5t, where h is in cm and t is in weeks, based on measurements for the first 6 weeks. Predict h at t = 30 and give one limitation.

Answer

At t = 30, h = 4 + 2.5 × 30 = 4 + 75 = 79 cm.

Limitation: the model assumes the plant grows at the same rate forever, but the data covers only 6 weeks. A plant stops growing at a certain height, so the real value at 30 weeks would be lower than 79 cm.

What to study next

Read testing whether a model still works outside the supplied data range for a fuller treatment of predicting beyond the data. Then try the modelling practice set.

For a teacher to help you write limitations in the wording a marker expects, see online one-to-one Mathematics tuition. The algebra step repair trainer can help with the algebra of a refined model.

Common questions

What is a limitation of a model?

It is a situation where the model's answer would not match reality, usually because an assumption fails. Name the assumption and say whether the real value would be higher or lower.

Is 'the model is not accurate' a good answer?

No. It does not say why or by how much. Write which assumption fails, for example 'the model ignores tolls, so the real cost could be higher'.

What does refining a model mean?

It means changing the model so it handles a situation the first version ignored. You might add a term, change a rate or restrict the range, and then explain what changed.

Can a refined model still have limitations?

Yes. Every model leaves something out. Refining it removes one limitation, and you can then state the next one.

If your limitation comments come out vague, one-to-one Mathematics lessons let a teacher check each sentence and show how to link it to a specific assumption.

  • Online one-to-one lessons for your child with an experienced teacher.
  • Your first class is a one-hour trial, from RM50. The fee is agreed before you book.
  • Happy with the teacher? Continue with lessons of about 1.5 hours. If not, ask for another teacher.